The Most Important Earthquake Ever
by John Stenmark LS
August 30, 2010
After five weeks in South
America, Dr. Mike Bevis was looking forward to getting home. A
professor of geodynamics at The Ohio State University, Bevis had been in the
mountains of Patagonia conducting research on
the use of GPS for “weighing” glacial ice sheets. He was in the airport in Lima, Peru,
on February 27, 2010, when he learned about the earthquake in Chile. From
Bevis’ standpoint as a geophysicist, it would be the most important earthquake
he had ever encountered.
The quake was a monster. It struck in the early morning hours, just off the
coast of the Maule region in south-central Chile. The enormous shock
(magnitude 8.8) drove the Nazca plate down and beneath the South American
plate. In Concepción, less than 160 kilometers (100 miles) south of the
epicenter, the surface of the earth moved westward by roughly 3 meters (9.8
feet). The earthquake’s rupture zone was more than 600 kilometers (370 miles)
long and 130 kilometers (80 miles) wide. Nearly 500 people were killed in the
quake; most were victims of the massive tsunami that it generated. In addition
to the immense human needs, the quake created a demand for immediate action by
GPS specialists--for two important reasons.
Rapid Reaction
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Eric C. Kendrick views the damage to Route P-22 to the west of Arauco. Hundreds of bridges and bridge approaches were damaged in the earthquake. Inset: In Caleta Tumbes north of Concepción, the tsunami caused extensive damage. Most fatalities were due to the tsunami. Photo by Leonardo Perez |
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Chile and Argentina have
been significant for geophysicists for years. The countries sit on the Pacific Ocean “Ring of Fire,” and earthquakes are not
uncommon. A research effort named the Central and Southern Andes GPS Project
(CAP) uses dozens of continuous GPS stations (CGPS) to monitor the tectonic
plates. Begun in 1993, CAP also uses hundreds of survey markers for episodic
tectonic monitoring. Following any major earthquake, geophysicists need to
gather as much GPS data as possible--and as soon as possible--after the initial
shock. The data are used to compute accurate measurements of displacement
caused by the quake and to create baseline information for subsequent
measurements of aftershocks and the more subtle but persistent post-seismic
deformation.
The second reason was for surveying and geodesy. According to Héctor Contreras,
professor of satellite geodesy at the University
of Santiago, many surveyors and
engineering firms in Chile
use GPS for their precise surveys and positioning projects. This work, which
typically uses real-time kinematic (RTK) or post-processed static methods,
usually covers baselines on the order of 5 to 20 kilometers (3 to 12 miles).
The surveyors rely on reference markers whose coordinates are provided by the
Chilean Military Geographic Institute (Instituto Geográfico Militar or IGM).
There are about 300 IGM markers in Chile, Contreras said, and probably
more than 100 were affected. “It’s not only of interest to science,” Bevis
explained. “The quake was a geodetic and surveying catastrophe.”
IGM had worked closely with CAP for more than 15 years to develop the network
of monuments. While most of the IGM survey markers were intact, the ground on
which they sat had moved. Their previously published positions were worthless,
and they were continuing to displace. At the time when it was needed the most, Chile’s
geodetic reference framework was unusable. The only solution was to build a lot
of new CGPS stations in the affected region--and do it very quickly. So instead
of getting on a plane for the U.S., Bevis headed south.
Project Phoenix
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| Remeasurement of a survey marker. While most such markers were unscathed, the
coseismic and posteismic motions left their coordinates unreliable for
conventional survey activity. Damage to the building gives evidence to
the quake’s power. Photo by Mike Bevis
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Bevis, together with Jeff Genrich, PhD, from the California Institute of
Technology, as well as Research Scientist Eric C. Kendrick, PhD, and Senior
Engineer Dana J. Caccamise II from The Ohio State University, were among the
first foreign scientists to arrive after the quake. They were soon followed by
a team from France.
(In addition to the CAP effort, researchers from France,
Germany
and other nations had also been collecting data for years.) While Bevis was en
route to Chile,
he was in constant communication with his colleagues. He and his American
colleagues coordinated with the National Science Foundation (NSF) in the U.S. to arrange
funding under the NSF’s Rapid Response Research (RAPID) mechanism. To obtain
GPS equipment, Bevis called on Jim Normandeau at UNAVCO, a consortium that
provides GPS and GNSS equipment and expertise to universities and research
organizations. He also worked with Ben Brooks, PhD, at the University of Hawaii and Robert (Bob) Smalley Jr., PhD, at the University of Memphis, to devise the overall plan.
Bevis was designated as the coordinator of the American effort in Chile, while Smalley would manage work in Argentina.
Brooks and Mark Simons, PhD, from the California Institute of Technology
(CalTech), were assigned to coordinate the data processing and would provide
logistical support in the U.S.
The objective was to rebuild the Chilean reference frame as quickly as
possible. They decided to name the effort “Project Phoenix.” The fieldwork in Chile involved two long-term CAP partners:
surveyors and engineers from IGM based in Santiago,
and Juan Carlos Baez, PhD, and his students and colleagues at the University of Concepción.
People and equipment began to move. UNAVCO prepared 25 campaign kits, each
consisting of a GPS receiver, solar panels and accessories for remote,
long-term data collection. The kits would be loaned to the project for a year.
To enable permanent installations, Trimble donated nine Trimble NetRS GPS
Reference Stations with Trimble Zephyr Geodetic Antennas. Other companies also
supplied equipment, and Bevis borrowed equipment from Ohio State’s
inventory of receivers, as well. IGM contributed technical personnel and the
use of their facilities as staging areas. Some IGM installations would also
serve as locations for CGPS stations.
Normandeau said that one of the early challenges was just getting into the
country. “Space on air freight for nonhumanitarian cargo simply was not
available,” he explained. “We sent two people with 25 systems, each weighing
roughly 40 pounds (18 kg) apiece. They called the airline and made arrangements
to take the equipment as excess baggage. It was literally half a ton of
equipment.”
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| Part of Mike Bevis’ situation map shows CGPS stations around Santiago. Colored pins indicate the
organization responsible for each station. Photo by Mike Bevis |
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While
they were in a hurry to get the new stations operating, the teams knew they
needed to install solid, reliable CGPS stations. Although they preferred to set
stations in bedrock, it was almost always necessary to place them in soil. To
do so, they devised a simple, durable tripod mount for the GPS antennas by
using a design developed in Bolivia
in the previous five years. The new mount--a simpler and less expensive version
of the mount developed by UNAVCO for its Plate Boundary Observatory (PBO) in
the U.S.--was
constructed using materials and tools available locally. After a bit of
practice, the field teams could install a permanent mount in roughly five
hours.
Even for an experienced project manager like Bevis, the scope of work was
daunting. He was coordinating the work of 12 to 14 people in the field in Chile and a smaller group in Argentina, and
maintaining contact with the French researchers to prevent gaps or overlaps in
coverage. He was also collaborating with the team in the U.S., which was
analyzing and modeling early results of the GPS observations. Bevis created a
large situation map, on which he marked the location of planned and existing
stations in three operational centers in Chile. He updated it frequently at
the nearest center and sent digital photos of the map to the teams across the
country, who then updated the other maps.
In order to move people, construction materials, tools and GPS equipment, the
Phoenix team established logistical centers in Santiago, Los Angeles,
Concepción and Talca to supply the local teams. “It was like being in a giant
vortex and everything is spinning around,” Bevis recalled. “It was hard to get trucks
and personnel. You didn’t know where everything and everyone was. You had
frontline logistical centers where it was crazy, and you had centers that were
calm. Part of the area was under martial law, and a lot of the communications
were down. I was reminded about a general who said, ‘Amateurs talk about
tactics; professionals talk about logistics.’ That was how it felt.” And
through it all, the earth was still moving.
To get the observations started, the teams installed 25 CGPS stations in less
than a month. Then they went back and hardened each station by adding durable
instrument housings and permanent frames for the solar panels. Data
communications from the stations remained spotty. For communications, many
stations used Broadband Global Area Network (BGAN) satellite modems built by
UNAVCO Senior Project Manager Frederick Blume, PhD, and the CAP team to send
data to the UNAVCO servers. As cellular service improves, Bevis expects that
many locations will be converted from the costly satellite service to
conventional cellular modems. But in the first few weeks after the quake, many
stations had to be downloaded manually, and the data carried to a location
where it could be sent to Brooks.
Fast Answers
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| Tsunami
damage to buildings in Llico near the tip of the Arauco Peninsula
south of Concepción. Photo by Eric C. Kendrick
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As the receivers began to come online, the data flowed to Brooks in Hawaii. Within two
weeks, he had developed preliminary estimates on the quake’s displacement.
Using software developed by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT),
Brooks and James Foster, Ph.D., processed pre-quake GPS data against reference
stations in Brazil,
differencing among reference points and survey points to get an array of
baseline vectors. They then performed network adjustments to obtain best-fit
positions. They repeated the process with post-quake data and took averages of
pre- and post-quake positions to compute simple displacement vectors at the
measured points. For most individual positions, they achieved an accuracy of
better than 3 millimeters (0.01 feet), with two-sigma errors for the
displacement vectors of 3 to 5 millimeters (0.01 to 0.02 feet). “For the
initial post-earthquake estimates, we had to use a combination of ultra-rapid
or rapid orbits,” Brooks said. “As the final orbits became available we
reprocessed everything. Our preliminary estimate looked pretty good, and now
we’re refining it.”
The computations revealed complex coseismic motion. Near Concepción, the
earth’s crust had moved by more than 3 meters (9.8 feet) in a matter of
seconds. Closer to the epicenter, the displacement was more than 4.5 meters (15
feet). The deformation affected much of central Chile
and caused measurable displacement in Buenos
Aires, Argentina,
more than 1,300 kilometers (800 miles) from the epicenter. Near the port city
of Lebu, Chile, the crust moved upward by
1.5 to 2 meters (4.9 to 6.6 feet), leaving boats stranded far from the new
shoreline.
New Reference Points for Surveyors
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| Soon
after the quake, local surveyors
recovered IGM monuments. They began to document the damage and assist in
reconstruction efforts. Photo by Eric C. Kendrick |
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Like most regions of the world, Chile’s
existing spatial reference system relies on physical survey markers. There is
no real-time GNSS network (RTN) in Chile. Because the previously known
coordinates of the markers were unusable, the damage to country’s survey
infrastructure was analogous to the damage inflicted on the physical
infrastructure of the country. The aggressive approach taken by CAP and IGM
will pay off quickly. There are 40 receivers in Chile now, with more to come. The University of Liverpool has joined the CAP consortium
and brought six GPS receivers of its own. “We will eventually have more than 40
geodetic reference stations available,” Bevis said. “We hope to build at least
35 continuous GPS stations in an area about 1,000 kilometers (600 miles) long
in Chile, and another five
to ten in Argentina.
Of course, the challenge will be keeping the network going after UNAVCO’s
one-year loan period expires. This is why vendor equipment donations are so
crucial.”
Although it will take years for Chile
to repair the damage from the earthquake, the Chilean surveying community will
be better off because of it. The country will be covered with dozens of new
monuments; many will be occupied by continuously operating receivers. As more
receivers connect to the Internet, data availability will improve. Hector Parra
of IGM said that all the new stations would become part of the Chilean National
Spatial Reference System and be tied to SIRGAS (Sistema de Referencia
Geocéntrico para las Américas, or Geocentric Reference System for the Americas)
datum. The connection to SIRGAS will provide a single, well-managed reference
frame that connects Chile
with the rest of South America.
“Because the quake struck in a heavily-populated region of Chile, it would
be a good location to create an active network of reference stations,”
Contreras said. “But because of the mountainous terrain and inconsistent
cellular coverage, that will take some more time. Having the CGPS stations in
place is an important first step.” Contreras said that most RTK surveys will
continue to use UHF radio communications.
From the researchers’ point of view, the February quake was the “perfect”
earthquake. The faults were well known, and sufficient pre-quake data existed
to accurately determine the quake’s deformation. Because of the GPS
infrastructure in place before the earthquake and the number of stations that
were constructed very quickly after the event, it will probably be the most
carefully studied very large earthquake in history. Although the 2004 magnitude
9.2 event in Indonesia was
larger, Bevis said that Chile
is easier to access and has a better infrastructure for collecting and managing
the GPS measurements.
“In terms of the purely scientific impact, I have little doubt this will be the
most important earthquake ever,” said Bevis. “And it’s important to realize how
the needs of the nation and the survey and engineering community are in
parallel with the needs of the scientists. The reference frame in Chile is now
bigger and denser than it was before the quake. In the face of the disaster,
that was a positive outcome.” For more information about UNAVCO, visit www.unavco.org. Additional information about Trimble equipment can be found at www.trimble.com.
John Stenmark, LS, is a writer and consultant working in the AEC and technical
industries. He has more than 20 years of experience in applying advanced
technology to surveying and related disciplines.
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